The World Bank’s global Food Price Index remains close to its 2008 peak

Global food prices remain high, partly due to increasing fuel prices, and the World Bank’s Food Price Index is around its 2008 peak. Since June 2010, an additional 44 million people fell below the $1.25 poverty line as a result of higher food prices. Simulations show that a further 10% increase in the Food Price Index could lead to 10 million people falling into poverty, and a 30% increase could increase poverty by 34 million people.

http://www.worldbank.org/foodcrisis/foodpricewatch/april_2011.html

Downgrading of U.S. Credit Rating Just Tip of the Iceberg

credit-reporting agency Standard & Poor’s downgraded the U.S. “AAA” credit rating from “stable” to “negative.” It was one big, loud message: if the U.S doesn’t get spending under control, its credit rating will be jeopardized further.

So how did the markets react? They gave us the opposite of what is expected. Instead of the U.S. dollar falling in value, it rallied. Bond prices, instead of declining, rallied. And gold stock prices declined with crude oil prices.

Why would U.S.-dollar denominated assets rally on the news of a U.S. credit rating cut (aside from trying to confuse the heck out of investors)? The reality of the situation is that investors still foolishly flock to U.S. dollars in times of uncertainty—even when the debt rating of the country issuing the dollars, the U.S., has been downgraded.

http://wallstreetpit.com/71669-downgrading-of-u-s-credit-rating-just-tip-of-the-iceberg

McDonald's warns of higher food inflation

* Q1 profit $1.15 per share vs Street view $1.14

* Sees more food inflation in United States, Europe

* Plans small price increases this year

* Will sacrifice some margin to protect traffic

* Shares down 1.5 percent

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/04/21/mcdonalds-idUSN2113482820110421

Killer Combo of High Gas, Food Prices at Key Tipping Point

The combination of rising gasoline prices and the steepest increase in the cost of food in a generation is threatening to push the US economy into a recession, according to Craig Johnson, president of Customer Growth Partners.

With gas prices now standing at about $3.90 a gallon, energy costs have now passed 6 percent of spending—a level that Johnson says is a "tipping point" for consumers.

"Energy is not quite as essential as food and water, but is a necessity in today's economy, and when gasoline costs more than bottled water—like now—then it takes a huge bite out of disposable spending," he said, in a research note.

Of the six US recessions since 1970, all but the "9-11 year 2001 recession" have been linked to—of not triggered by—energy prices that crossed the 6 percent of personal consumption expenditures, he said. (During the shallow 2001 recession, energy prices had risen to about 5 percent of spending, which is higher than the long-term 4 percent share.)

http://www.cnbc.com/id/42704213

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Bank Of America Analyst Advocates The “Unthinkable” — An Intentional Default On US Debt

No one need create the catastrophic event otherwise feared from a temporary deferral of interest payments on Treasury debt arising out of a political conflict. Politicians on both sides of the debate could help to avoid that outcome by setting market expectations. With appropriate direction from Treasury or Congress, holders of Treasury debt could accrue their missed interest payments while continuing to accrue future interest payments.

http://www.blacklistednews.com/Bank_Of_America_Analyst_Advocates_The_%E2%80%9CUnthinkable%E2%80%9D_%E2%80%94_An_Intentional_Default_On_US_Debt_/13560/0/0/0/Y/M.html

U.S. Companies Shrink Packages as Food Prices Rise

U.S. food prices have been rising in the last year, but it seems the growth is only just beginning. A sharp jump in commodities' prices this year will soon result in sticker shock for American consumers.

Large food companies have recently announced that they will raise the prices they charge grocery retailers for commodities-based products. For example, a chocolate bar will cost more soon: Hershey last week announced a 10% increase for most of its confectionery goods.

http://www.dailyfinance.com/2011/04/04/u-s-companies-shrink-packages-as-food-prices-rise/

Secret memos expose link between oil firms and invasion of Iraq

Plans to exploit Iraq's oil reserves were discussed by government ministers and the world's largest oil companies the year before Britain took a leading role in invading Iraq, government documents show.

The papers, revealed here for the first time, raise new questions over Britain's involvement in the war, which had divided Tony Blair's cabinet and was voted through only after his claims that Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/secret-memos-expose-link-between-oil-firms-and-invasion-of-iraq-2269610.html

BRICS Make Move to Shove Dollar Aside

China and four other leading high-growth economies have taken landmark steps toward lowering the importance of the dollar in international financial transactions — part of a seminal shift in the move towards a multicurrency reserve and trading system.

Mind you, you wouldn't get an idea of anything dramatic from reading the official Chinese press on the conclusion of a summit meeting of the so-called BRICS economies (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) in the southern resort twin of Sanya in southern China last week.

"Leaders call for peace and prosperity" was the front-page headline in the China Daily. Stirring stiff. Even more striking was the prominent story the previous day that China's President Hu Jintao and visiting Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff had agreed to quicken trade procedures for "gelatin, corn, tobacco leaf, bovine embryos and semen." At least we know there's no holding back the Chinese rhetorical flourishes on these issues.

http://finance.yahoo.com/banking-budgeting/article/112563/BRICS-move-dollar-aside-marketwatch?mod=bb-budgeting%20&sec=topStories&pos=3&asset=&ccode=

Wall Street shares slump as S&P downgrades US debt outlook

Ratings agency cuts long-term outlook from stable to negative for first time since Pearl Harbor attack 70 years ago

Shares fell heavily on Wall Street on Monday after a leading ratings agency fanned fears of Europe's debt crisis spreading across the Atlantic by issuing a strong warning about America's failure to tackle its budget deficit.

In a move seen by Wall Street as a "shot across the bows" of bickering politicians in Washington, Standard and Poor's (S&P) said it was cutting the outlook on the US's long-term rating from stable to negative for the first time since the attack on Pearl Harbor 70 years ago.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2011/apr/18/us-economy-credit-rating